One of the formulas in the last post was missing a 2. Everything has now been recalculated. Some numbers changed. The basic result is that some of the numbers are not quite as dire as I had stated: the original example experiment, which had 15 participants per condition and an effect significant at p=.05 has a 51% chance of replicating (in the sense of producing another significant p-value when re-run exactly), again assuming the effect was real and the effect size is as measured in the first experiment.
Simple, atypical but neat estimation of energy released in fission
2 weeks ago in The Curious Wavefunction
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